Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.234326 0.269846 0.308072 0.352166 0.401516 0.454939 0.517032
2025-12-28 0.181526 0.230312 0.287093 0.357611 0.442351 0.540395 0.661866
2026-01-04 0.144421 0.200694 0.271115 0.364602 0.484206 0.630745 0.822345
2026-01-11 0.114149 0.173157 0.252260 0.363974 0.515252 0.710288 0.977583
2026-01-18 0.091238 0.150546 0.235399 0.362295 0.543227 0.787333 1.135977
2026-01-25 0.073512 0.131564 0.219931 0.359341 0.567737 0.860650 1.294644
2026-02-01 0.059988 0.116115 0.206747 0.357055 0.591710 0.933980 1.458020
2026-02-08 0.049226 0.102863 0.194542 0.353944 0.613061 1.004103 1.620927
2026-02-15 0.040397 0.091050 0.182566 0.349065 0.630257 1.068308 1.778563
2026-02-22 0.034934 0.084344 0.178166 0.355832 0.666034 1.162680 1.987070
2026-03-01 0.029126 0.075615 0.168591 0.352043 0.683335 1.228499 2.154807
2026-03-08 0.024758 0.068922 0.161709 0.351960 0.706402 1.304479 2.342443
2026-03-15 0.020472 0.061482 0.152313 0.346275 0.719571 1.366002 2.512509
2026-03-22 0.018484 0.059112 0.153064 0.360369 0.769817 1.493520 2.799119
2026-03-29 0.016611 0.056579 0.153048 0.372847 0.818024 1.620543 3.092109
2026-04-05 0.014350 0.052395 0.148606 0.375517 0.847566 1.716428 3.337134
2026-04-12 0.012292 0.048201 0.143398 0.375793 0.872222 1.804811 3.573633
2026-04-19 0.010445 0.044076 0.137604 0.373949 0.892230 1.885613 3.800686
2026-04-26 0.008892 0.040390 0.132239 0.372308 0.912283 1.967389 4.033323
2026-05-03 0.007534 0.036897 0.126720 0.369517 0.929470 2.044451 4.260908
2026-05-10 0.006320 0.033476 0.120722 0.364714 0.941713 2.112394 4.474668
2026-05-17 0.005633 0.031863 0.119608 0.371897 0.980723 2.234718 4.795521
2026-05-24 0.004752 0.029083 0.114465 0.368058 0.994585 2.307634 5.026047